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Chezney's Field Notes

What I'm seeing out there.

Notes on housing, lending, money, and the mood around it.

Rates Just Had Their Biggest Weekly Jump Since 2022. Here's How the Market Is Responding.

Rates Just Had Their Biggest Weekly Jump Since 2022. Here's How the Market Is Responding.

The 30-year rate hit 7.28% this week, its highest since late 2023. Applications fell, cancellations rose, and more sellers are cutting prices. Here's what changed and what it means if you're shopping right now.

Oct 2, 2026 4 min
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Fannie and Freddie Now Price VantageScore the Same as FICO. Here's Who That Could Help.

Fannie and Freddie Now Price VantageScore the Same as FICO. Here's Who That Could Help.

FHFA moved Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to one pricing grid for Classic FICO and VantageScore 4.0, dropping a 20-point penalty on VantageScore. For some borrowers, that could mean a smaller fee on the same loan.

Oct 1, 2026 5 min
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PCE on Wednesday, Jobs on Friday: What This Week Could Mean for Mortgage Rates

PCE on Wednesday, Jobs on Friday: What This Week Could Mean for Mortgage Rates

Rates just crossed 7% on Freddie Mac's weekly survey, and this week brings two reports that tend to move them: PCE inflation on Wednesday and the September jobs report on Friday.

Sep 29, 2026 4 min
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Why Mortgage Rates Rose Last Week (It Wasn’t Just the Inflation Report)

Why Mortgage Rates Rose Last Week (It Wasn’t Just the Inflation Report)

Rates started last week on a positive note, then moved higher after the PCE report and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech. Read my thoughts on the situation as a whole and what we can likely expect.

Sep 1, 2026
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The Fed's Favorite Inflation Number Just Landed. Here's What It Means for Your Rate.

The Fed's Favorite Inflation Number Just Landed. Here's What It Means for Your Rate.

Core PCE, the Fed's favorite inflation gauge, held at 3.3% annually in July while consumer spending stalled. Here's the plain-language read on what it means for mortgage rates right now.

Aug 29, 2026
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The Quick History of the Dollar (And What Gold Has to Do With It)

The Quick History of the Dollar (And What Gold Has to Do With It)

Gold's near $4,300 an ounce right now, up from $35 in 1971. Here's the quick, no-drama history of how the dollar got here, and why it still matters today.

Aug 9, 2026 3 min
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The US Just Bought Yen for the First Time Since 1998. Here's Why That Touches Your Mortgage.

The US Just Bought Yen for the First Time Since 1998. Here's Why That Touches Your Mortgage.

The US and Japan just pulled off their first joint yen-buying intervention since 1998. Here's the plain-language version of what happened, and how it connects to your mortgage rate.

Aug 8, 2026 4 min
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New Condo Lending Rules Just Kicked In. Here's What It Means for FL and SC Buyers

New Condo Lending Rules Just Kicked In. Here's What It Means for FL and SC Buyers

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac just retired the streamlined condo review process, effective for loan applications dated August 3, 2026 and later. Here's what changed, why trade groups are pushing back, and what it means if you're buying a condo on the FL or SC coast.

Aug 7, 2026 4 min
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Foundations

Foundations

Evergreen guides for buying, borrowing, and building.

Before You Offer on a Beach Condo, Check the Building

Before You Offer on a Beach Condo, Check the Building

When you buy a condo, you're buying into the whole building. Here's what to check about it before you make an offer.

Sep 24, 2026 3 min
Start With Your Strategy
New Construction Incentives Are Real. So Is the Tax Bill Waiting Behind Them.

New Construction Incentives Are Real. So Is the Tax Bill Waiting Behind Them.

Builder incentives on new construction are funded by the price staying firm, not handed to you for free. The bigger risk is the property tax reassessment that follows closing, a mechanism that's now the subject of active federal litigation.

Aug 20, 2026 5 min
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Your VA Loan Entitlement Isn't a One-Time Coupon

Your VA Loan Entitlement Isn't a One-Time Coupon

A lot of veterans think using a VA loan once means the benefit is gone. It's not. You can often hold two VA loans at the same time after a PCS, and even full entitlement can be restored without losing the benefit for good.

Aug 18, 2026 4 min
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The Credit Score Walkthrough: What Actually Moves Your Number Before You Buy

The Credit Score Walkthrough: What Actually Moves Your Number Before You Buy

A walkthrough of how credit utilization actually gets measured, why disputes are risky right before a mortgage, and how it all shows up in your rate. Not a checklist, just the mechanics.

Aug 14, 2026 6 min
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The 620 You Keep Hearing About VA Loans Isn't a VA Rule

The 620 You Keep Hearing About VA Loans Isn't a VA Rule

The VA doesn't set a minimum credit score. The 580 or 620 you keep hearing quoted is a rule your lender added, not a VA requirement, and a different lender can see the same file differently.

Aug 12, 2026 5 min
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How Pre-Approval Actually Works

How Pre-Approval Actually Works

Pre-approval isn't a formality, it's the number that tells you what you can actually do. Here's the honest version of what happens and why it matters more than people think.

Aug 4, 2026 3 min
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How Mortgage Rates Actually Work (and Why They Move)

How Mortgage Rates Actually Work (and Why They Move)

Rates aren't set by a coin flip at your bank. Here's the plain-language version of what actually moves them, and why chasing the 'perfect' week is a losing game.

Jul 31, 2026 4 min
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Buying a Home on the Coast: The Step-by-Step Guide

Buying a Home on the Coast: The Step-by-Step Guide

From first thought to front door keys, here's exactly how home buying works in Florida and South Carolina, no jargon required.

Jul 28, 2026 4 min
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